Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 69.912575 78.932156 89.423466 102.724171 119.433397 140.159046 168.545081
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 57.675240 68.847764 83.126850 103.397416 132.717725 176.035037 250.786535
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 48.680919 59.931017 75.102601 98.171231 134.772259 196.156474 324.666843
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.629552 57.931962 75.458685 104.145264 154.740680 254.239143 530.850705
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 41.693551 53.976472 72.105860 103.284913 162.586024 294.651657 773.284714
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 38.159128 50.097344 68.177866 100.448277 165.558702 326.582038 1087.732961
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 34.737108 46.004285 63.347212 95.046929 161.556759 338.583662 1379.522192
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 34.057335 45.965073 64.956771 101.580023 185.803116 456.160218 3851.019720
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.487805 46.006998 66.662621 108.661081 215.016151 642.343288 48355.919866
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.165225 44.698665 65.840148 110.382600 231.142104 812.679651 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.596521 42.848926 63.830241 109.141902 238.188246 956.835959 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.023892 40.875230 61.394148 106.525428 239.965372 1078.247040 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 27.521161 38.989083 59.077167 104.137810 242.983635 1250.968911 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 26.353101 37.602312 57.588626 103.520520 252.670977 1582.853707 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 24.762374 35.390450 54.334817 98.117623 242.067141 1595.822592 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 24.523220 35.497443 55.563801 104.060713 280.725215 3090.411403 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 23.616947 34.368060 54.238994 103.197897 290.005763 4348.819588 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 22.599714 32.983475 52.288905 100.364518 288.683409 5331.565099 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 21.417737 31.249874 49.519573 94.970095 272.561276 4928.617557 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 21.391164 31.585441 50.994898 101.494694 322.935048 26150.228221 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 21.366944 31.920293 52.504010 108.566191 387.764356 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 20.921498 31.446556 52.238364 110.285330 421.392857 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 20.294763 30.600342 51.092676 109.046349 432.241931 NaN NaN